You can ask women anecdotally if they've been raped, or sexually assaulted. Large numbers (10-30%) will say yes, which corresponds with research. Numbers get higher when you ask promiscuous women, prostitutes and so on. If you ask them, "did you report this to the police?" almost unanimously they say "no." When you ask why, they say, "idk." I hope that if I was raped that I would be dragging my prolapsed anus to the police station. But maybe there is some kind of deeper psychological mechanism at work which prevents them. I cannot speak to false rape accusations, having avoided that charge, and not knowing anyone else who has been falsely accused of rape. It does seem however that there are a ton of false charges being thrown around perpetually, especially in child custody cases.
A lot of rape prevalence research overestimates rates because they include too many things as rape. I read a meta analysis that said that only about 1/3 of women who answer "yes" to having experienced specific types of rape also say "yes" to a question flatly asking if they've been raped. The interpretation was that women are stupid and don't know if they've been raped or not, but the most obvious explanation is that the researchers themselves were the ones who don't know what rape is. The National Crime Victimization survey says that a little over 20% of rape victims (including both men and women) reported it to the police in 2022, compared to almost half in 2023. The 2023 figure is basically the same as for violent crimes in general, whereas the 2022 figure is somewhat lower than it is for other violent crimes (about 40-50%). The rate of rape Victimization (inckuding non reported rapes) was 1.2-1.9 per 1,000 depending on the year, between 2019 and 2023. Because this includes men, you can crudely adjust it to, say, 3 per 1,000 per year. If you assume that only women between 15 and 35 get raped, and have an equal chance of being raped for every year in this age group, you get a total chance of being raped by the end of age 35 of 6%. When you consider the fact that some are repeated victimizations, the rate is lower.
They should give me funding as someone who knows how to correctly set the numerator and denominator, which automatically makes me more qualified than the authors of these awful studies here.
You can ask women anecdotally if they've been raped, or sexually assaulted. Large numbers (10-30%) will say yes, which corresponds with research. Numbers get higher when you ask promiscuous women, prostitutes and so on. If you ask them, "did you report this to the police?" almost unanimously they say "no." When you ask why, they say, "idk." I hope that if I was raped that I would be dragging my prolapsed anus to the police station. But maybe there is some kind of deeper psychological mechanism at work which prevents them. I cannot speak to false rape accusations, having avoided that charge, and not knowing anyone else who has been falsely accused of rape. It does seem however that there are a ton of false charges being thrown around perpetually, especially in child custody cases.
A lot of rape prevalence research overestimates rates because they include too many things as rape. I read a meta analysis that said that only about 1/3 of women who answer "yes" to having experienced specific types of rape also say "yes" to a question flatly asking if they've been raped. The interpretation was that women are stupid and don't know if they've been raped or not, but the most obvious explanation is that the researchers themselves were the ones who don't know what rape is. The National Crime Victimization survey says that a little over 20% of rape victims (including both men and women) reported it to the police in 2022, compared to almost half in 2023. The 2023 figure is basically the same as for violent crimes in general, whereas the 2022 figure is somewhat lower than it is for other violent crimes (about 40-50%). The rate of rape Victimization (inckuding non reported rapes) was 1.2-1.9 per 1,000 depending on the year, between 2019 and 2023. Because this includes men, you can crudely adjust it to, say, 3 per 1,000 per year. If you assume that only women between 15 and 35 get raped, and have an equal chance of being raped for every year in this age group, you get a total chance of being raped by the end of age 35 of 6%. When you consider the fact that some are repeated victimizations, the rate is lower.
Wait, you’re telling me the NIH hasn’t been dumping money onto anyone willing to investigate this?
They should give me funding as someone who knows how to correctly set the numerator and denominator, which automatically makes me more qualified than the authors of these awful studies here.